2008 Presidential Race

[chromodynamics]

On the Democratic side:
After Super Tuesday, Hillary has a difficult uphill climb to the nomination. I was wrong in saying she won the most delegates yesterday; she is the current leader, but on Super Tuesday it looks like Obama won by a mere 6 delegates. Her campaign is having funding problems, evidenced by her $5 million loan and senior members going without pay. And the next set of contests will see Obama favored to win, meaning she could go the rest of the month without winning a primary or caucus.

Obama is doing very well. He is clearly winning the money race, and the calendar favors him over the rest of the month with contests in Washington, Nebraska, Louisiana, DC, Maryland, Virginia, and Hawaii (Wisconsin is also this month, but Hillary is polling well there). His one cause for worry is the expectations game; already there are questions about why the Super Tuesday results fell short of the hype.

On the Republican side:
Big news just in: Romney will be dropping out! Stay tuned for more to come.

McCain will be talking at the Conservative Political Action Committee’s annual conference today. Last year, he didn’t go, and was booed and voted their fifth and last choice for Presidential candidate.

Comments

[darthfox.livejournal.com]

I am, for a non-Republican, in a bit of a flutter about Romney dropping out. Not that he had a prayer (so to speak), but does his dropping out benefit Huckabee or McCain? And should it matter? Am I right to hope that Huckabee gets the nomination (because he couldn't possibly win), and likewise that if he's not the nominee, he's not selected as the VP candidate (because it seems that would satisfy a lot of the R's who are unhappy with McCain, and I'd rather they were unsatisfied with their ticket)? I DON'T KNOW WHAT TO THINK, AND I CAN'T ALLOW THE POST TO TELL ME. :-] What's a girl to do (besides wring her hands and wait for next Tuesday)?

[chromodynamics.livejournal.com]

I so totally want Huck on the ticket, one way or another. I think he is too extreme for most of the electorate, and will turn people off whether he is in the President or Vice President slot, especially among independents who the Republican candidate will need in order to overcome the large numbers that are turning out in the Democratic primaries.

[misscake]

He is extreme, but he also won three states on Tuesday and my fear is that the conservatives will be out in droves to support him if he's on the ticket with McCain.

Although you make a good point about the independents and cross-over Republicans.

*frets*

[sundancekid.livejournal.com]

But then I think about people like James Dobson saying he'll stay home if it's McCain, and would he come out and vote if Huck was the VP? And do those fundamentalists outweigh the moderates and independents who don't want that guy taking a tour of the White House, let alone living in it?

I just can't deal with the thought of Huck running for prez. It seriously upsets me so much I have to go lie down. :p

[misscake]

WHAT!!! OMFG! Wow. I want to say I am really surprised but then I remember reading a couple of articles the other day that said he'd probably drop out sooner rather than later if he started having to pony up more of his own money.
But I didn't think it would happen so soon!

[chromodynamics.livejournal.com]

Yeah, neither did I! I assumed after his rhetoric yesterday that he would stick around until at least the next big round.

All ready First Read on MSNBC is talking about how the Virginia election will shape up in a post-Romney race, with Huckabee wearing the conservative label.