2008 Presidential Race
Jan. 31st, 2008 07:00 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
chromodynamicsOn the Democratic side:
So who benefits most from Edwards withdrawal? I had always assumed it would be Obama, as most of the Edwards supporters I knew of where progressive and therefore better fit with Obama, but the pundits are not so sure. Though supporters in this situation usually give their support to the candidate that has the most momentum at the time, much of Edwards demographic has been shared with Clinton, not Obama, so basically it is a wait-and-see situation.
Gallup’s national tracking poll shows a bounce for Obama following South Carolina and the Kennedys endorsements, though Clinton still leads. The most recent events, Florida and Edwards withdrawal, won’t start having an affect (if they do) until this weekend.
Both:
This article talks about how important endorsements have been to the campaigns so far.
On the Republican side:
There was a debate last night, in which McCain played the role of the front-runner, and Romney did little to stop him. Schwarzenegger is expected to endorse McCain today, and recent polls already show McCain with a lead in California. Furthermore, Romney hasn’t yet bought television ads in key Super Tuesday states.
Is Romney preparing to exit the race? Or will he hang on in hopes that a conservative miracle will occur, or McCain will make some major flub?
McCain’s final hurdle to overcome within the GOP is getting conservatives on board.
So who benefits most from Edwards withdrawal? I had always assumed it would be Obama, as most of the Edwards supporters I knew of where progressive and therefore better fit with Obama, but the pundits are not so sure. Though supporters in this situation usually give their support to the candidate that has the most momentum at the time, much of Edwards demographic has been shared with Clinton, not Obama, so basically it is a wait-and-see situation.
Gallup’s national tracking poll shows a bounce for Obama following South Carolina and the Kennedys endorsements, though Clinton still leads. The most recent events, Florida and Edwards withdrawal, won’t start having an affect (if they do) until this weekend.
Both:
This article talks about how important endorsements have been to the campaigns so far.
On the Republican side:
There was a debate last night, in which McCain played the role of the front-runner, and Romney did little to stop him. Schwarzenegger is expected to endorse McCain today, and recent polls already show McCain with a lead in California. Furthermore, Romney hasn’t yet bought television ads in key Super Tuesday states.
Is Romney preparing to exit the race? Or will he hang on in hopes that a conservative miracle will occur, or McCain will make some major flub?
McCain’s final hurdle to overcome within the GOP is getting conservatives on board.