2008 Presidential Race
Jan. 30th, 2008 07:55 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
chromodynamicsOn the Democratic side:
Despite not winning any delegates, Hillary won Florida with 50% to Obama’s 33% and Edwards 14%. Hillary is already promoting the win, just as Obama is downplaying it. I think both camps are correct: while the win means little as far as the delegate race, it was a win in a significant state and will help Hillary with momentum going into Super Tuesday, or at the very least slow Obama’s SC momentum.
ETA: NBC is reporting that Edwards will drop out of the race later today.
On the Republican side:
McCain won Florida yesterday, with 36% to Romney’s 31%, Rudy’s 15% and Huck’s 13%. Clearly this is a huge shot in the arm for McCain, gives him the delegate lead on the Republican side, and makes him the front-runner for the nomination. More importantly, Giuliani’s poor showing after pouring all his energy into the state seems to end his hopes, and he is expected to drop out and endorse McCain today. For Romney, his hope is that conservatives will rally around him and propel him to the lead now that he is the only viable alternative to McCain.
Despite not winning any delegates, Hillary won Florida with 50% to Obama’s 33% and Edwards 14%. Hillary is already promoting the win, just as Obama is downplaying it. I think both camps are correct: while the win means little as far as the delegate race, it was a win in a significant state and will help Hillary with momentum going into Super Tuesday, or at the very least slow Obama’s SC momentum.
ETA: NBC is reporting that Edwards will drop out of the race later today.
On the Republican side:
McCain won Florida yesterday, with 36% to Romney’s 31%, Rudy’s 15% and Huck’s 13%. Clearly this is a huge shot in the arm for McCain, gives him the delegate lead on the Republican side, and makes him the front-runner for the nomination. More importantly, Giuliani’s poor showing after pouring all his energy into the state seems to end his hopes, and he is expected to drop out and endorse McCain today. For Romney, his hope is that conservatives will rally around him and propel him to the lead now that he is the only viable alternative to McCain.
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(no subject)
Date: 2008-01-30 02:47 pm (UTC)Can you explain why the Florida primary doesn't count for Dems? I don't really understand that.
(no subject)
Date: 2008-01-30 03:06 pm (UTC)When the DNC set up the rules for the primary, they only allowed fours states to go before Feb.5th (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina). However, both Michigan and Florida decided move their primaries to before this date. In retribution, the DNC stripped both states of their delegates, and the candidates pledged to not campaign in either state. Therefore, even though Hillary won Florida, she receives no delegates for the win.
However, Hillary is touting this victory and not the one in Michigan because in Michigan both Obama and Edwards removed their names from the ballot; in Florida, all three candidates were still on the ballot.
If a clear winner eventually emerges, and admitting the delegates doesn't change the outcome, it is likely that the winner will talk the DNC into allowing the Florida and Michigan delegates to come to the convention and vote.
Incidentally, the Republican contest was also held earlier than the RNC permitted, but they decided to cut the delegates in half rather than void them all, which is why the Republican primary yesterday was still important.
(no subject)
Date: 2008-01-30 10:47 pm (UTC)