chromodynamics (![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
chromodynamics) wrote2008-02-13 10:15 am
chromodynamics) wrote2008-02-13 10:15 am
Entry tags:
2008 Presidential Race
On the Democratic side:
Obama swept all three contests yesterday, winning in DC (75-24), MD (60-37), and VA (64-35).
Obama did well across the board: young and old, men and women, black and white. His momentum coming out of this is phenomenal, especially with likely wins in upcoming Hawaii and Wisconsin. Hillary’s last ditch effort will be in Texas and Ohio on March 4th, which are now must-wins for her. In my opinion, the break has come, and I will be surprised if she wins both of these states (and not at all surprised if Obama does).
On the Republican side:
McCain won all three contests in DC (68-17), MD (55-29), and VA (50-41).
Though a winner, the contest in Virginia still underscores the problem McCain has with religious conservatives, who voted for Huckabee 60-25. Obama’s draw on independents is affecting the Republican primaries, meaning that these and other conservatives groups are having a larger influence on the outcome.
Obama swept all three contests yesterday, winning in DC (75-24), MD (60-37), and VA (64-35).
Obama did well across the board: young and old, men and women, black and white. His momentum coming out of this is phenomenal, especially with likely wins in upcoming Hawaii and Wisconsin. Hillary’s last ditch effort will be in Texas and Ohio on March 4th, which are now must-wins for her. In my opinion, the break has come, and I will be surprised if she wins both of these states (and not at all surprised if Obama does).
On the Republican side:
McCain won all three contests in DC (68-17), MD (55-29), and VA (50-41).
Though a winner, the contest in Virginia still underscores the problem McCain has with religious conservatives, who voted for Huckabee 60-25. Obama’s draw on independents is affecting the Republican primaries, meaning that these and other conservatives groups are having a larger influence on the outcome.
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I think it is extremely likely that the contest will come down to the superdelegates. But if Obama is well ahead in pledged delegates, popular vote, and number of state contests won, it will be hard for superdelegates to give the nomination to Clinton without a revolt. After this weekend's contests, he is now ahead in all three.
However, if Hillary wins Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, and therefore either is very close in pledged delegates, or even slightly ahead, as well as close in the popular vote, who knows what will happen.